Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
$399,418 Vol.
$399,418 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
$399,418 Vol.
$399,418 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Binuksan ang Market: May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$399,418Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$399,418Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
Recent statements from US and Iranian officials, including President Trump, indicate an imminent memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, lift certain sanctions, and initiate 60-day technical talks on Iran's nuclear program, including uranium enrichment limits and verification. Omani-mediated diplomacy has produced reported progress on core issues such as no nuclear weapons and sanctions relief, following earlier Geneva and Islamabad rounds. These developments, combined with the short window to July 31 and both sides' incentives to formalize a framework agreement, underpin trader consensus on a high probability of resolution by the deadline. Outstanding details on implementation and enrichment levels remain subject to final negotiations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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