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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 100.0%

James Osyf <1%

Matt Strickler <1%

Patrick Mosolf <1%

Polymarket

$12,635 Vol.

Elaine Luria 100.0%

James Osyf <1%

Matt Strickler <1%

Patrick Mosolf <1%

Polymarket

$12,635 Vol.

James Osyf

$1,629 Vol.

No

Matt Strickler

$822 Vol.

No

Patrick Mosolf

$1,712 Vol.

No

Burk Stringfellow

$821 Vol.

No

Elaine Luria

$5,024 Vol.

Yes

Nila Devanath

$1,399 Vol.

No

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,227 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria secured the Democratic nomination for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, reflecting traders' consensus around her established profile as a former two-term representative and Navy veteran. Key factors include substantial early fundraising, endorsements from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and state leaders such as Gov. Abigail Spanberger, and name recognition in a competitive swing district anchored by military communities. Her opponents, including physician Nila Devanath and former USAID official Patrick Mosolf, trailed significantly in resources and visibility. With results now projected, markets price in near-certainty of her nomination ahead of the November rematch against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification or any procedural challenges, though historical patterns in Virginia primaries suggest these are unlikely to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,635
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Elaine Luria secured the Democratic nomination for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, reflecting traders' consensus around her established profile as a former two-term representative and Navy veteran. Key factors include substantial early fundraising, endorsements from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and state leaders such as Gov. Abigail Spanberger, and name recognition in a competitive swing district anchored by military communities. Her opponents, including physician Nila Devanath and former USAID official Patrick Mosolf, trailed significantly in resources and visibility. With results now projected, markets price in near-certainty of her nomination ahead of the November rematch against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification or any procedural challenges, though historical patterns in Virginia primaries suggest these are unlikely to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,635
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Kaugnay

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Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Elaine Luria" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "James Osyf" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $12.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Elaine Luria" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "James Osyf" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.