Mark Pocan, the Democratic incumbent since 2013, holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 2nd district race due to the seat’s deep blue character, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. He secured renomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with roughly 88 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Minimal Republican opposition, including low fundraising by candidate Erik Olsen, has left the general election on November 3, 2026 largely uncontested in practice. Trader consensus around 97 percent for Pocan aligns with historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive dynamics. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could still alter outcomes, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWI-02 House Election Winner
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Republican Party
<1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan, the Democratic incumbent since 2013, holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 2nd district race due to the seat’s deep blue character, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. He secured renomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with roughly 88 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Minimal Republican opposition, including low fundraising by candidate Erik Olsen, has left the general election on November 3, 2026 largely uncontested in practice. Trader consensus around 97 percent for Pocan aligns with historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive dynamics. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unprecedented national Republican surge could still alter outcomes, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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