Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District, reflecting her strong fundraising, primary victory, and recent polling leads in a seat rated toss-up by most forecasters. The rematch against incumbent Derrick Van Orden features Cooke ahead in multiple surveys, including a 50-46 result from June, while Van Orden’s favorability sits underwater amid bipartisan criticism over his August exchange with Capitol pages. The district’s narrow 2024 margin, combined with national midterm dynamics and Democratic emphasis on affordability and local issues, has supported the current pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRebecca Cooke (D)
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
28%
Rebecca Cooke (D)
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
28%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District, reflecting her strong fundraising, primary victory, and recent polling leads in a seat rated toss-up by most forecasters. The rematch against incumbent Derrick Van Orden features Cooke ahead in multiple surveys, including a 50-46 result from June, while Van Orden’s favorability sits underwater amid bipartisan criticism over his August exchange with Capitol pages. The district’s narrow 2024 margin, combined with national midterm dynamics and Democratic emphasis on affordability and local issues, has supported the current pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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