Russian forces have pressed incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast during summer 2026, targeting villages south of Dobropillya and north of Pokrovsk as part of efforts to expand control along the front. Russian Defense Ministry statements on July 29 claimed seizure of Svitle, yet Institute for the Study of War assessments through early August describe the locality as contested gray-zone terrain featuring Russian infiltration alongside Ukrainian counterattacks and limited confirmed territorial shifts. Trader sentiment on capture timelines reflects these discrepancies, the pace of mechanized assaults in the sector, and reliance on independent mapping for market resolution. Ongoing artillery exchanges, drone strikes, and force rotations in the Pokrovsk direction remain the primary variables that could alter control of specific intersections before late-summer deadlines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Russia capture Svitle by...?
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?
$41,621 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
7%
October 31
34%
$41,621 Vol.
August 31
$29,225 Vol.
7%
October 31
$12,395 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pressed incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast during summer 2026, targeting villages south of Dobropillya and north of Pokrovsk as part of efforts to expand control along the front. Russian Defense Ministry statements on July 29 claimed seizure of Svitle, yet Institute for the Study of War assessments through early August describe the locality as contested gray-zone terrain featuring Russian infiltration alongside Ukrainian counterattacks and limited confirmed territorial shifts. Trader sentiment on capture timelines reflects these discrepancies, the pace of mechanized assaults in the sector, and reliance on independent mapping for market resolution. Ongoing artillery exchanges, drone strikes, and force rotations in the Pokrovsk direction remain the primary variables that could alter control of specific intersections before late-summer deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Volume
$41,621Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have pressed incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast during summer 2026, targeting villages south of Dobropillya and north of Pokrovsk as part of efforts to expand control along the front. Russian Defense Ministry statements on July 29 claimed seizure of Svitle, yet Institute for the Study of War assessments through early August describe the locality as contested gray-zone terrain featuring Russian infiltration alongside Ukrainian counterattacks and limited confirmed territorial shifts. Trader sentiment on capture timelines reflects these discrepancies, the pace of mechanized assaults in the sector, and reliance on independent mapping for market resolution. Ongoing artillery exchanges, drone strikes, and force rotations in the Pokrovsk direction remain the primary variables that could alter control of specific intersections before late-summer deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.405560° N, 37.119791° E in Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location in Svitle: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle1.png
Svitle Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Svitle2.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h4wD9Vc9XvfYZ3417
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$41,621Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 8:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have pressed incremental advances in Donetsk Oblast during summer 2026, targeting villages south of Dobropillya and north of Pokrovsk as part of efforts to expand control along the front. Russian Defense Ministry statements on July 29 claimed seizure of Svitle, yet Institute for the Study of War assessments through early August describe the locality as contested gray-zone terrain featuring Russian infiltration alongside Ukrainian counterattacks and limited confirmed territorial shifts. Trader sentiment on capture timelines reflects these discrepancies, the pace of mechanized assaults in the sector, and reliance on independent mapping for market resolution. Ongoing artillery exchanges, drone strikes, and force rotations in the Pokrovsk direction remain the primary variables that could alter control of specific intersections before late-summer deadlines.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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