Xi Jinping has maintained a stable marriage to Peng Liyuan since 1987, following a brief earlier union that ended decades ago, with the couple frequently appearing together in official state events and media without any verified signs of strain. Chinese Communist Party norms emphasize personal stability for top leaders to project institutional strength, and no public statements, leaks, or credible reporting indicate marital issues as of mid-2026. Traders assign 98% probability to no divorce before 2027 because such an outcome would represent a sharp departure from decades of precedent and the tightly controlled personal sphere of senior officials. Only an unforeseen health event, internal political upheaval, or other extraordinary development could alter this consensus, though none appear imminent.