South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration. Multiple additional rulings, including a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term in July 2026 and a separate two-year sentence later that month on political-funding charges, have reinforced detention. Appeals in the primary case continue, yet the severity of the convictions and the absence of any successful bail or release motions since the latest warrants have shaped trader consensus around prolonged custody. With resolution tied to release by December 31, 2026, the current 90 percent implied probability for “No” reflects these sustained legal barriers and lack of near-term reversal signals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration. Multiple additional rulings, including a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term in July 2026 and a separate two-year sentence later that month on political-funding charges, have reinforced detention. Appeals in the primary case continue, yet the severity of the convictions and the absence of any successful bail or release motions since the latest warrants have shaped trader consensus around prolonged custody. With resolution tied to release by December 31, 2026, the current 90 percent implied probability for “No” reflects these sustained legal barriers and lack of near-term reversal signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$149,639Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration. Multiple additional rulings, including a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term in July 2026 and a separate two-year sentence later that month on political-funding charges, have reinforced detention. Appeals in the primary case continue, yet the severity of the convictions and the absence of any successful bail or release motions since the latest warrants have shaped trader consensus around prolonged custody. With resolution tied to release by December 31, 2026, the current 90 percent implied probability for “No” reflects these sustained legal barriers and lack of near-term reversal signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$149,639Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration. Multiple additional rulings, including a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term in July 2026 and a separate two-year sentence later that month on political-funding charges, have reinforced detention. Appeals in the primary case continue, yet the severity of the convictions and the absence of any successful bail or release motions since the latest warrants have shaped trader consensus around prolonged custody. With resolution tied to release by December 31, 2026, the current 90 percent implied probability for “No” reflects these sustained legal barriers and lack of near-term reversal signals.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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