Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals secured a House of Commons majority through victories in three by-elections on April 13, 2026, in Scarborough Southwest, University-Rosedale, and Terrebonne, transforming their prior minority government—formed after the April 2025 federal election—into a stable majority. This outcome eliminates incentives for a snap election or dissolution before the fixed date on the third Monday in October 2029, as majority governments rarely face successful non-confidence votes or prorogation pressures. Trader consensus at 97.9% for "No" reflects this newfound parliamentary security, with no recent confidence threats or leadership turmoil. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like a major scandal, mass defections, or unexpected resignation prompting early dissolution by June 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$75,031 Hac.
$75,031 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$75,031 Hac.
$75,031 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals secured a House of Commons majority through victories in three by-elections on April 13, 2026, in Scarborough Southwest, University-Rosedale, and Terrebonne, transforming their prior minority government—formed after the April 2025 federal election—into a stable majority. This outcome eliminates incentives for a snap election or dissolution before the fixed date on the third Monday in October 2029, as majority governments rarely face successful non-confidence votes or prorogation pressures. Trader consensus at 97.9% for "No" reflects this newfound parliamentary security, with no recent confidence threats or leadership turmoil. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like a major scandal, mass defections, or unexpected resignation prompting early dissolution by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Hacim
$75,031Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals secured a House of Commons majority through victories in three by-elections on April 13, 2026, in Scarborough Southwest, University-Rosedale, and Terrebonne, transforming their prior minority government—formed after the April 2025 federal election—into a stable majority. This outcome eliminates incentives for a snap election or dissolution before the fixed date on the third Monday in October 2029, as majority governments rarely face successful non-confidence votes or prorogation pressures. Trader consensus at 97.9% for "No" reflects this newfound parliamentary security, with no recent confidence threats or leadership turmoil. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like a major scandal, mass defections, or unexpected resignation prompting early dissolution by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$75,031Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals secured a House of Commons majority through victories in three by-elections on April 13, 2026, in Scarborough Southwest, University-Rosedale, and Terrebonne, transforming their prior minority government—formed after the April 2025 federal election—into a stable majority. This outcome eliminates incentives for a snap election or dissolution before the fixed date on the third Monday in October 2029, as majority governments rarely face successful non-confidence votes or prorogation pressures. Trader consensus at 97.9% for "No" reflects this newfound parliamentary security, with no recent confidence threats or leadership turmoil. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events like a major scandal, mass defections, or unexpected resignation prompting early dissolution by June 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular