Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, driven by the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause amid balanced inflation risks and economic uncertainty from U.S. tariffs and Middle East tensions. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, nearing the 2% target excluding taxes, while March employment added just 14,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 6.7%, signaling a soft but stable labor market. This positioning reflects caution against downside growth risks versus potential energy-driven inflation upticks. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected drop in upcoming March CPI data (due April 20) prompting a 25 basis point cut, though hike odds remain negligible absent surging inflation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiKanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
Kanada Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
Değişiklik yok 98.0%
Artış 1.0%
25 baz puanlık indirim <1%
50+ baz puanlık indirim <1%
$100,225 Hac.
$100,225 Hac.
29 Nis 2026
50+ baz puanlık indirim
<1%
25 baz puanlık indirim
1%
Değişiklik yok
98%
Artış
1%
Değişiklik yok 98.0%
Artış 1.0%
25 baz puanlık indirim <1%
50+ baz puanlık indirim <1%
$100,225 Hac.
$100,225 Hac.
29 Nis 2026
50+ baz puanlık indirim
$25,393 Hac.
<1%
25 baz puanlık indirim
$27,044 Hac.
1%
Değişiklik yok
$35,468 Hac.
98%
Artış
$12,320 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, driven by the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause amid balanced inflation risks and economic uncertainty from U.S. tariffs and Middle East tensions. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, nearing the 2% target excluding taxes, while March employment added just 14,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 6.7%, signaling a soft but stable labor market. This positioning reflects caution against downside growth risks versus potential energy-driven inflation upticks. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected drop in upcoming March CPI data (due April 20) prompting a 25 basis point cut, though hike odds remain negligible absent surging inflation.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Hacim
$100,225Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, driven by the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause amid balanced inflation risks and economic uncertainty from U.S. tariffs and Middle East tensions. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, nearing the 2% target excluding taxes, while March employment added just 14,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 6.7%, signaling a soft but stable labor market. This positioning reflects caution against downside growth risks versus potential energy-driven inflation upticks. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected drop in upcoming March CPI data (due April 20) prompting a 25 basis point cut, though hike odds remain negligible absent surging inflation.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$100,225Bitiş Tarihi
29 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98% implied probability to the Bank of Canada holding its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, driven by the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause amid balanced inflation risks and economic uncertainty from U.S. tariffs and Middle East tensions. February CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year, nearing the 2% target excluding taxes, while March employment added just 14,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 6.7%, signaling a soft but stable labor market. This positioning reflects caution against downside growth risks versus potential energy-driven inflation upticks. Realistic challenges include a sharper-than-expected drop in upcoming March CPI data (due April 20) prompting a 25 basis point cut, though hike odds remain negligible absent surging inflation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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