Polymarket traders price an 87% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate at 2.25%, aggregating sentiment after the Governing Council's March 18 hold—the second pause of 2026—amid February CPI easing to 1.8% below target and March employment adding 14,000 jobs (+0.1%) with unemployment steady at 6.7%. Resilient labor markets and growth signal a soft landing, muting 25 bps cut odds (7.5%) despite prior easing, while 8.5% hike probability reflects oil price pressures and supply shocks. Forecasts from National Bank and others envision steady rates through 2026; the April 29 Monetary Policy Report and CPI releases loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 87%
Increase 9%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
YENİ
YENİ
10 Haz 2026
50+ bps decrease
4%
25 bps decrease
7%
No change
87%
Increase
9%
No change 87%
Increase 9%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
YENİ
YENİ
10 Haz 2026
50+ bps decrease
$188 Hac.
4%
25 bps decrease
$836 Hac.
7%
No change
$3,569 Hac.
87%
Increase
$804 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 87% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate at 2.25%, aggregating sentiment after the Governing Council's March 18 hold—the second pause of 2026—amid February CPI easing to 1.8% below target and March employment adding 14,000 jobs (+0.1%) with unemployment steady at 6.7%. Resilient labor markets and growth signal a soft landing, muting 25 bps cut odds (7.5%) despite prior easing, while 8.5% hike probability reflects oil price pressures and supply shocks. Forecasts from National Bank and others envision steady rates through 2026; the April 29 Monetary Policy Report and CPI releases loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Hacim
$5,397Bitiş Tarihi
10 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 87% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate at 2.25%, aggregating sentiment after the Governing Council's March 18 hold—the second pause of 2026—amid February CPI easing to 1.8% below target and March employment adding 14,000 jobs (+0.1%) with unemployment steady at 6.7%. Resilient labor markets and growth signal a soft landing, muting 25 bps cut odds (7.5%) despite prior easing, while 8.5% hike probability reflects oil price pressures and supply shocks. Forecasts from National Bank and others envision steady rates through 2026; the April 29 Monetary Policy Report and CPI releases loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$5,397Bitiş Tarihi
10 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price an 87% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate at 2.25%, aggregating sentiment after the Governing Council's March 18 hold—the second pause of 2026—amid February CPI easing to 1.8% below target and March employment adding 14,000 jobs (+0.1%) with unemployment steady at 6.7%. Resilient labor markets and growth signal a soft landing, muting 25 bps cut odds (7.5%) despite prior easing, while 8.5% hike probability reflects oil price pressures and supply shocks. Forecasts from National Bank and others envision steady rates through 2026; the April 29 Monetary Policy Report and CPI releases loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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