Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 86.5% for the US reopening its embassy in Iran in 2026, reflecting entrenched hostilities and stalled diplomatic efforts amid recent military escalations. The US embassy in Tehran has remained closed since the 1979 hostage crisis, with no normalization amid ongoing sanctions, nuclear disputes, and security threats. Over the past week, initial US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad collapsed without agreement on key sticking points like Iran's nuclear program and regional proxies, following a US naval blockade near the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian retaliatory actions against US interests. President Trump's firm red lines and mutual recriminations underscore deep divisions, with upcoming second-round negotiations unlikely to yield the comprehensive peace treaty or sanction relief needed for embassy restoration before year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$50,833 Hac.
$50,833 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$50,833 Hac.
$50,833 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 86.5% for the US reopening its embassy in Iran in 2026, reflecting entrenched hostilities and stalled diplomatic efforts amid recent military escalations. The US embassy in Tehran has remained closed since the 1979 hostage crisis, with no normalization amid ongoing sanctions, nuclear disputes, and security threats. Over the past week, initial US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad collapsed without agreement on key sticking points like Iran's nuclear program and regional proxies, following a US naval blockade near the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian retaliatory actions against US interests. President Trump's firm red lines and mutual recriminations underscore deep divisions, with upcoming second-round negotiations unlikely to yield the comprehensive peace treaty or sanction relief needed for embassy restoration before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Hacim
$50,833Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 86.5% for the US reopening its embassy in Iran in 2026, reflecting entrenched hostilities and stalled diplomatic efforts amid recent military escalations. The US embassy in Tehran has remained closed since the 1979 hostage crisis, with no normalization amid ongoing sanctions, nuclear disputes, and security threats. Over the past week, initial US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad collapsed without agreement on key sticking points like Iran's nuclear program and regional proxies, following a US naval blockade near the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian retaliatory actions against US interests. President Trump's firm red lines and mutual recriminations underscore deep divisions, with upcoming second-round negotiations unlikely to yield the comprehensive peace treaty or sanction relief needed for embassy restoration before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$50,833Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 86.5% for the US reopening its embassy in Iran in 2026, reflecting entrenched hostilities and stalled diplomatic efforts amid recent military escalations. The US embassy in Tehran has remained closed since the 1979 hostage crisis, with no normalization amid ongoing sanctions, nuclear disputes, and security threats. Over the past week, initial US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad collapsed without agreement on key sticking points like Iran's nuclear program and regional proxies, following a US naval blockade near the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian retaliatory actions against US interests. President Trump's firm red lines and mutual recriminations underscore deep divisions, with upcoming second-round negotiations unlikely to yield the comprehensive peace treaty or sanction relief needed for embassy restoration before year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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