Recent Léger and Pallas Data polls from early April 2026 show a neck-and-neck race in vote intentions, with PLQ edging PQ at 33%-32% (Léger April 6) and 32%-29% (Pallas April 13-14), reflecting PLQ gains amid Québec Solidaire and rising Parti conservateur du Québec support splitting the left and right. Trader consensus prices PQ at 53.5% to win most seats in the first-past-the-post system, aligning with 338Canada projections (updated March 31) forecasting PQ a 54-72 seat majority despite PLQ's urban vote concentration inefficiency outside Montréal and Gatineau. CAQ languishes at 9-14% following Premier François Legault's January resignation, enabling the PQ-PLQ duel. Election must occur by October 5, with leadership dynamics and regional turnout pivotal.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiQuebec Genel Seçim Galibi
Quebec Genel Seçim Galibi
PQ 54%
PLQ 37%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$429,759 Hac.
$429,759 Hac.
5 Eki 2026
PQ
54%
PLQ
37%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 54%
PLQ 37%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$429,759 Hac.
$429,759 Hac.
5 Eki 2026
PQ
$41,745 Hac.
54%
PLQ
$47,641 Hac.
37%
CAQ
$42,701 Hac.
9%
PCQ
$144,126 Hac.
1%
PVQ
$105,358 Hac.
<1%
QS
$48,187 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and Pallas Data polls from early April 2026 show a neck-and-neck race in vote intentions, with PLQ edging PQ at 33%-32% (Léger April 6) and 32%-29% (Pallas April 13-14), reflecting PLQ gains amid Québec Solidaire and rising Parti conservateur du Québec support splitting the left and right. Trader consensus prices PQ at 53.5% to win most seats in the first-past-the-post system, aligning with 338Canada projections (updated March 31) forecasting PQ a 54-72 seat majority despite PLQ's urban vote concentration inefficiency outside Montréal and Gatineau. CAQ languishes at 9-14% following Premier François Legault's January resignation, enabling the PQ-PLQ duel. Election must occur by October 5, with leadership dynamics and regional turnout pivotal.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Hacim
$429,759Bitiş Tarihi
5 Eki 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and Pallas Data polls from early April 2026 show a neck-and-neck race in vote intentions, with PLQ edging PQ at 33%-32% (Léger April 6) and 32%-29% (Pallas April 13-14), reflecting PLQ gains amid Québec Solidaire and rising Parti conservateur du Québec support splitting the left and right. Trader consensus prices PQ at 53.5% to win most seats in the first-past-the-post system, aligning with 338Canada projections (updated March 31) forecasting PQ a 54-72 seat majority despite PLQ's urban vote concentration inefficiency outside Montréal and Gatineau. CAQ languishes at 9-14% following Premier François Legault's January resignation, enabling the PQ-PLQ duel. Election must occur by October 5, with leadership dynamics and regional turnout pivotal.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Hacim
$429,759Bitiş Tarihi
5 Eki 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Léger and Pallas Data polls from early April 2026 show a neck-and-neck race in vote intentions, with PLQ edging PQ at 33%-32% (Léger April 6) and 32%-29% (Pallas April 13-14), reflecting PLQ gains amid Québec Solidaire and rising Parti conservateur du Québec support splitting the left and right. Trader consensus prices PQ at 53.5% to win most seats in the first-past-the-post system, aligning with 338Canada projections (updated March 31) forecasting PQ a 54-72 seat majority despite PLQ's urban vote concentration inefficiency outside Montréal and Gatineau. CAQ languishes at 9-14% following Premier François Legault's January resignation, enabling the PQ-PLQ duel. Election must occur by October 5, with leadership dynamics and regional turnout pivotal.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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