Trader consensus reflects low likelihood of any STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, driven by steep constitutional barriers requiring Senate President admission of charges, CCJ review, and two-thirds approval for removal—a threshold unmet in STF history. Recent release of the Senate CPI do Crime final report recommending impeachment of ministers like Dias Toffoli over the Banco Master scandal, alongside opposition requests against Alexandre de Moraes, has fueled rhetoric but prompted no formal advancement amid government influence in the Senate. Polls indicate public support for accountability, yet procedural inertia and time constraints before year-end resolution favor the status quo, with 2026 elections unlikely to yield action in the narrow window.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$59,200 Hac.
$59,200 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
$59,200 Hac.
$59,200 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects low likelihood of any STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, driven by steep constitutional barriers requiring Senate President admission of charges, CCJ review, and two-thirds approval for removal—a threshold unmet in STF history. Recent release of the Senate CPI do Crime final report recommending impeachment of ministers like Dias Toffoli over the Banco Master scandal, alongside opposition requests against Alexandre de Moraes, has fueled rhetoric but prompted no formal advancement amid government influence in the Senate. Polls indicate public support for accountability, yet procedural inertia and time constraints before year-end resolution favor the status quo, with 2026 elections unlikely to yield action in the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Hacim
$59,200Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects low likelihood of any STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, driven by steep constitutional barriers requiring Senate President admission of charges, CCJ review, and two-thirds approval for removal—a threshold unmet in STF history. Recent release of the Senate CPI do Crime final report recommending impeachment of ministers like Dias Toffoli over the Banco Master scandal, alongside opposition requests against Alexandre de Moraes, has fueled rhetoric but prompted no formal advancement amid government influence in the Senate. Polls indicate public support for accountability, yet procedural inertia and time constraints before year-end resolution favor the status quo, with 2026 elections unlikely to yield action in the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$59,200Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects low likelihood of any STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, driven by steep constitutional barriers requiring Senate President admission of charges, CCJ review, and two-thirds approval for removal—a threshold unmet in STF history. Recent release of the Senate CPI do Crime final report recommending impeachment of ministers like Dias Toffoli over the Banco Master scandal, alongside opposition requests against Alexandre de Moraes, has fueled rhetoric but prompted no formal advancement amid government influence in the Senate. Polls indicate public support for accountability, yet procedural inertia and time constraints before year-end resolution favor the status quo, with 2026 elections unlikely to yield action in the narrow window.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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