Trader consensus prices a low 22.5% chance of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his ongoing U.S. Southern District of New York narcoterrorism case, stemming from a January 2026 superseding indictment alleging cocaine importation conspiracy, machine gun possession, and related charges after his capture in Caracas. On March 26, U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied defense motions to dismiss, rejecting arguments over Venezuelan funding for legal costs and the statute's novelty, which has seen limited trial success—most defendants plead guilty rather than risk conviction. Pre-trial disputes persist on sanctions' role and evidence admissibility, with no trial date set, underscoring prosecution hurdles that temper expectations for full conviction.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$101,244 Hac.
$101,244 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
Evet
$101,244 Hac.
$101,244 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a low 22.5% chance of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his ongoing U.S. Southern District of New York narcoterrorism case, stemming from a January 2026 superseding indictment alleging cocaine importation conspiracy, machine gun possession, and related charges after his capture in Caracas. On March 26, U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied defense motions to dismiss, rejecting arguments over Venezuelan funding for legal costs and the statute's novelty, which has seen limited trial success—most defendants plead guilty rather than risk conviction. Pre-trial disputes persist on sanctions' role and evidence admissibility, with no trial date set, underscoring prosecution hurdles that temper expectations for full conviction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Hacim
$101,244Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a low 22.5% chance of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his ongoing U.S. Southern District of New York narcoterrorism case, stemming from a January 2026 superseding indictment alleging cocaine importation conspiracy, machine gun possession, and related charges after his capture in Caracas. On March 26, U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied defense motions to dismiss, rejecting arguments over Venezuelan funding for legal costs and the statute's novelty, which has seen limited trial success—most defendants plead guilty rather than risk conviction. Pre-trial disputes persist on sanctions' role and evidence admissibility, with no trial date set, underscoring prosecution hurdles that temper expectations for full conviction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$101,244Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a low 22.5% chance of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his ongoing U.S. Southern District of New York narcoterrorism case, stemming from a January 2026 superseding indictment alleging cocaine importation conspiracy, machine gun possession, and related charges after his capture in Caracas. On March 26, U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied defense motions to dismiss, rejecting arguments over Venezuelan funding for legal costs and the statute's novelty, which has seen limited trial success—most defendants plead guilty rather than risk conviction. Pre-trial disputes persist on sanctions' role and evidence admissibility, with no trial date set, underscoring prosecution hurdles that temper expectations for full conviction.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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