Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in February 2026 and his son Mojtaba's ascension as Supreme Leader, the @khamenei_ir account—now featuring statements from the "martyred Leader"—has posted archival quotes and speeches at a low but consistent rate of roughly one per day through early April, including April 13's reference to Prophet Jesus warning against oppression. With zero posts in the market window since April 14 amid a three-day lull as of April 16, traders remain split, pricing 60+ posts (15.3%) marginally ahead of <5 (14.5%) due to tail risks of a posting surge tied to U.S.-Iran tensions or commemorations, while 5-9 (8.7%) and 10-14 (8.2%) capture baseline expectations. The race stays tight on unpredictable staff activity over the final five days; escalation signals or official announcements could boost volume, but sustained quiet favors low bins.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiKhamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
<5 15%
60+ 10.7%
10-14 9.8%
5-9 8.7%
YENİ
YENİ
21 Nis 2026
<5
15%
5-9
9%
10-14
10%
15-19
14%
20-24
4%
25-29
2%
30-34
3%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
4%
55-59
3%
60+
11%
<5 15%
60+ 10.7%
10-14 9.8%
5-9 8.7%
YENİ
YENİ
21 Nis 2026
<5
$812 Hac.
15%
5-9
$660 Hac.
9%
10-14
$651 Hac.
10%
15-19
$691 Hac.
14%
20-24
$860 Hac.
4%
25-29
$684 Hac.
2%
30-34
$675 Hac.
3%
35-39
$635 Hac.
2%
40-44
$679 Hac.
1%
45-49
$654 Hac.
1%
50-54
$700 Hac.
4%
55-59
$715 Hac.
3%
60+
$659 Hac.
11%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in February 2026 and his son Mojtaba's ascension as Supreme Leader, the @khamenei_ir account—now featuring statements from the "martyred Leader"—has posted archival quotes and speeches at a low but consistent rate of roughly one per day through early April, including April 13's reference to Prophet Jesus warning against oppression. With zero posts in the market window since April 14 amid a three-day lull as of April 16, traders remain split, pricing 60+ posts (15.3%) marginally ahead of <5 (14.5%) due to tail risks of a posting surge tied to U.S.-Iran tensions or commemorations, while 5-9 (8.7%) and 10-14 (8.2%) capture baseline expectations. The race stays tight on unpredictable staff activity over the final five days; escalation signals or official announcements could boost volume, but sustained quiet favors low bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Hacim
$9,077Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in February 2026 and his son Mojtaba's ascension as Supreme Leader, the @khamenei_ir account—now featuring statements from the "martyred Leader"—has posted archival quotes and speeches at a low but consistent rate of roughly one per day through early April, including April 13's reference to Prophet Jesus warning against oppression. With zero posts in the market window since April 14 amid a three-day lull as of April 16, traders remain split, pricing 60+ posts (15.3%) marginally ahead of <5 (14.5%) due to tail risks of a posting surge tied to U.S.-Iran tensions or commemorations, while 5-9 (8.7%) and 10-14 (8.2%) capture baseline expectations. The race stays tight on unpredictable staff activity over the final five days; escalation signals or official announcements could boost volume, but sustained quiet favors low bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$9,077Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in February 2026 and his son Mojtaba's ascension as Supreme Leader, the @khamenei_ir account—now featuring statements from the "martyred Leader"—has posted archival quotes and speeches at a low but consistent rate of roughly one per day through early April, including April 13's reference to Prophet Jesus warning against oppression. With zero posts in the market window since April 14 amid a three-day lull as of April 16, traders remain split, pricing 60+ posts (15.3%) marginally ahead of <5 (14.5%) due to tail risks of a posting surge tied to U.S.-Iran tensions or commemorations, while 5-9 (8.7%) and 10-14 (8.2%) capture baseline expectations. The race stays tight on unpredictable staff activity over the final five days; escalation signals or official announcements could boost volume, but sustained quiet favors low bins.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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