Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's posting volume for April 17–24 reflects uncertainty rooted in its irregular pattern since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February 2026 amid US-Israeli strikes, with the account now sharing archival statements on resistance forces, Zionism, and US decline. A recent lull—only one post on April 13 after four the prior week—bolsters the <5 outcome at 28.5%, but bursts tied to escalations like Hezbollah actions or Yemen operations have pushed 10–14 posts (27.7%) and 20–24 (24.4%) close behind, keeping the race tight. Geopolitical catalysts, such as new airstrikes, Trump administration signals, or proxy developments, could spike activity and separate frontrunners before resolution on April 24, 12:00 PM ET.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiKhamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?
10-14 27.1%
<5 27%
20-24 24.6%
35-39 19.9%
YENİ
YENİ
24 Nis 2026
<5
27%
5-9
12%
10-14
27%
15-19
10%
20-24
25%
25-29
17%
30-34
2%
35-39
20%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
6%
55-59
1%
60+
12%
10-14 27.1%
<5 27%
20-24 24.6%
35-39 19.9%
YENİ
YENİ
24 Nis 2026
<5
$262 Hac.
27%
5-9
$263 Hac.
12%
10-14
$274 Hac.
27%
15-19
$219 Hac.
10%
20-24
$235 Hac.
25%
25-29
$311 Hac.
17%
30-34
$190 Hac.
2%
35-39
$217 Hac.
20%
40-44
$233 Hac.
3%
45-49
$239 Hac.
2%
50-54
$230 Hac.
6%
55-59
$225 Hac.
1%
60+
$262 Hac.
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's posting volume for April 17–24 reflects uncertainty rooted in its irregular pattern since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February 2026 amid US-Israeli strikes, with the account now sharing archival statements on resistance forces, Zionism, and US decline. A recent lull—only one post on April 13 after four the prior week—bolsters the <5 outcome at 28.5%, but bursts tied to escalations like Hezbollah actions or Yemen operations have pushed 10–14 posts (27.7%) and 20–24 (24.4%) close behind, keeping the race tight. Geopolitical catalysts, such as new airstrikes, Trump administration signals, or proxy developments, could spike activity and separate frontrunners before resolution on April 24, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Hacim
$3,159Bitiş Tarihi
24 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's posting volume for April 17–24 reflects uncertainty rooted in its irregular pattern since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February 2026 amid US-Israeli strikes, with the account now sharing archival statements on resistance forces, Zionism, and US decline. A recent lull—only one post on April 13 after four the prior week—bolsters the <5 outcome at 28.5%, but bursts tied to escalations like Hezbollah actions or Yemen operations have pushed 10–14 posts (27.7%) and 20–24 (24.4%) close behind, keeping the race tight. Geopolitical catalysts, such as new airstrikes, Trump administration signals, or proxy developments, could spike activity and separate frontrunners before resolution on April 24, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$3,159Bitiş Tarihi
24 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir account's posting volume for April 17–24 reflects uncertainty rooted in its irregular pattern since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February 2026 amid US-Israeli strikes, with the account now sharing archival statements on resistance forces, Zionism, and US decline. A recent lull—only one post on April 13 after four the prior week—bolsters the <5 outcome at 28.5%, but bursts tied to escalations like Hezbollah actions or Yemen operations have pushed 10–14 posts (27.7%) and 20–24 (24.4%) close behind, keeping the race tight. Geopolitical catalysts, such as new airstrikes, Trump administration signals, or proxy developments, could spike activity and separate frontrunners before resolution on April 24, 12:00 PM ET.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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