Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 during US-Israeli strikes, his official X account @khamenei_ir—now honoring the "martyred Leader"—has shifted to reposting archival statements rather than new content, contributing to trader consensus favoring under 5 posts (54.5%) for April 14-21. As of April 16, zero posts have appeared since the period began on April 14, aligning with a recent pattern of sporadic activity: one on April 13 (a 1995 quote on Prophet Jesus), two on April 5, and others earlier in the month amid national mourning and leadership transition to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. This low-volume trend, versus higher bins like 60+ (12.4%), reflects diminished posting cadence post-martyrdom, though commemorative events could spur modest upticks before week's end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiKhamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
<5 54%
5-9 14.2%
15-19 4.3%
10-14 3.6%
$10,075 Hac.
$10,075 Hac.
21 Nis 2026
<5
54%
5-9
14%
10-14
4%
15-19
4%
20-24
3%
25-29
2%
30-34
3%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
3%
55-59
8%
60+
2%
<5 54%
5-9 14.2%
15-19 4.3%
10-14 3.6%
$10,075 Hac.
$10,075 Hac.
21 Nis 2026
<5
$940 Hac.
54%
5-9
$752 Hac.
14%
10-14
$709 Hac.
4%
15-19
$782 Hac.
4%
20-24
$909 Hac.
3%
25-29
$733 Hac.
2%
30-34
$729 Hac.
3%
35-39
$684 Hac.
1%
40-44
$728 Hac.
1%
45-49
$703 Hac.
<1%
50-54
$749 Hac.
3%
55-59
$779 Hac.
8%
60+
$876 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 during US-Israeli strikes, his official X account @khamenei_ir—now honoring the "martyred Leader"—has shifted to reposting archival statements rather than new content, contributing to trader consensus favoring under 5 posts (54.5%) for April 14-21. As of April 16, zero posts have appeared since the period began on April 14, aligning with a recent pattern of sporadic activity: one on April 13 (a 1995 quote on Prophet Jesus), two on April 5, and others earlier in the month amid national mourning and leadership transition to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. This low-volume trend, versus higher bins like 60+ (12.4%), reflects diminished posting cadence post-martyrdom, though commemorative events could spur modest upticks before week's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Hacim
$10,075Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 during US-Israeli strikes, his official X account @khamenei_ir—now honoring the "martyred Leader"—has shifted to reposting archival statements rather than new content, contributing to trader consensus favoring under 5 posts (54.5%) for April 14-21. As of April 16, zero posts have appeared since the period began on April 14, aligning with a recent pattern of sporadic activity: one on April 13 (a 1995 quote on Prophet Jesus), two on April 5, and others earlier in the month amid national mourning and leadership transition to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. This low-volume trend, versus higher bins like 60+ (12.4%), reflects diminished posting cadence post-martyrdom, though commemorative events could spur modest upticks before week's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$10,075Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 during US-Israeli strikes, his official X account @khamenei_ir—now honoring the "martyred Leader"—has shifted to reposting archival statements rather than new content, contributing to trader consensus favoring under 5 posts (54.5%) for April 14-21. As of April 16, zero posts have appeared since the period began on April 14, aligning with a recent pattern of sporadic activity: one on April 13 (a 1995 quote on Prophet Jesus), two on April 5, and others earlier in the month amid national mourning and leadership transition to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. This low-volume trend, versus higher bins like 60+ (12.4%), reflects diminished posting cadence post-martyrdom, though commemorative events could spur modest upticks before week's end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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