Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israel airstrikes, has fueled speculation through his absence from public view amid unconfirmed reports of injuries and a possible medical evacuation to Russia. Attributed statements via state media, including a March 30 message thanking Iraqis for support, suggest ongoing leadership from within Iran, though doubts persist amid the protracted conflict, IRGC maneuvers, and 2025-2026 protests. No verified departures or health updates have occurred in the past 30 days; traders weigh regime defiance against escalation risks, diplomatic talks, or late-breaking revelations on his status before resolution deadlines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$877,621 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
30 Nisan
2%
31 Mayıs
6%
30 Haziran
9%
$877,621 Hac.
30 Nisan
$194,431 Hac.
2%
31 Mayıs
$12,249 Hac.
6%
30 Haziran
$8,464 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israel airstrikes, has fueled speculation through his absence from public view amid unconfirmed reports of injuries and a possible medical evacuation to Russia. Attributed statements via state media, including a March 30 message thanking Iraqis for support, suggest ongoing leadership from within Iran, though doubts persist amid the protracted conflict, IRGC maneuvers, and 2025-2026 protests. No verified departures or health updates have occurred in the past 30 days; traders weigh regime defiance against escalation risks, diplomatic talks, or late-breaking revelations on his status before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Hacim
$877,621Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israel airstrikes, has fueled speculation through his absence from public view amid unconfirmed reports of injuries and a possible medical evacuation to Russia. Attributed statements via state media, including a March 30 message thanking Iraqis for support, suggest ongoing leadership from within Iran, though doubts persist amid the protracted conflict, IRGC maneuvers, and 2025-2026 protests. No verified departures or health updates have occurred in the past 30 days; traders weigh regime defiance against escalation risks, diplomatic talks, or late-breaking revelations on his status before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$877,621Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israel airstrikes, has fueled speculation through his absence from public view amid unconfirmed reports of injuries and a possible medical evacuation to Russia. Attributed statements via state media, including a March 30 message thanking Iraqis for support, suggest ongoing leadership from within Iran, though doubts persist amid the protracted conflict, IRGC maneuvers, and 2025-2026 protests. No verified departures or health updates have occurred in the past 30 days; traders weigh regime defiance against escalation risks, diplomatic talks, or late-breaking revelations on his status before resolution deadlines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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