Recent polls from April 14, including CAM at 32.1% (projecting 90 seats) and Market Links at 36.7%, position Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev—as the frontrunner with 90-95 seats likely in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, aligning with trader consensus favoring 95+ (34%) and 85-89 (27.5%) outcomes. PB's surge, fueled by anti-corruption appeals and 67% of private campaign donations, capitalizes on voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021 and fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS ~20%, PP-DB ~13%). Close probabilities reflect poll variability, undecided voters, and turnout uncertainty above 50%, with final campaigning or meddling allegations potentially tipping seat totals before the April 19 vote.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinde PB'nin kazandığı sandalye sayısı?
Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinde PB'nin kazandığı sandalye sayısı?
95+ 34%
85-89 28%
90-94 17%
80-84 14%
$46,132 Hac.
$46,132 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
<75
2%
75-79
1%
80-84
14%
85-89
28%
90-94
17%
95+
34%
95+ 34%
85-89 28%
90-94 17%
80-84 14%
$46,132 Hac.
$46,132 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
<75
$1,183 Hac.
2%
75-79
$1,689 Hac.
1%
80-84
$9,368 Hac.
14%
85-89
$8,644 Hac.
28%
90-94
$6,793 Hac.
17%
95+
$18,455 Hac.
34%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from April 14, including CAM at 32.1% (projecting 90 seats) and Market Links at 36.7%, position Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev—as the frontrunner with 90-95 seats likely in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, aligning with trader consensus favoring 95+ (34%) and 85-89 (27.5%) outcomes. PB's surge, fueled by anti-corruption appeals and 67% of private campaign donations, capitalizes on voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021 and fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS ~20%, PP-DB ~13%). Close probabilities reflect poll variability, undecided voters, and turnout uncertainty above 50%, with final campaigning or meddling allegations potentially tipping seat totals before the April 19 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Hacim
$46,132Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from April 14, including CAM at 32.1% (projecting 90 seats) and Market Links at 36.7%, position Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev—as the frontrunner with 90-95 seats likely in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, aligning with trader consensus favoring 95+ (34%) and 85-89 (27.5%) outcomes. PB's surge, fueled by anti-corruption appeals and 67% of private campaign donations, capitalizes on voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021 and fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS ~20%, PP-DB ~13%). Close probabilities reflect poll variability, undecided voters, and turnout uncertainty above 50%, with final campaigning or meddling allegations potentially tipping seat totals before the April 19 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$46,132Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from April 14, including CAM at 32.1% (projecting 90 seats) and Market Links at 36.7%, position Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev—as the frontrunner with 90-95 seats likely in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, aligning with trader consensus favoring 95+ (34%) and 85-89 (27.5%) outcomes. PB's surge, fueled by anti-corruption appeals and 67% of private campaign donations, capitalizes on voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021 and fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS ~20%, PP-DB ~13%). Close probabilities reflect poll variability, undecided voters, and turnout uncertainty above 50%, with final campaigning or meddling allegations potentially tipping seat totals before the April 19 vote.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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