Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 50-59 seats (80% implied probability) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election for the 240-seat National Assembly, driven by proportional representation and a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads polls at 28-34%. Recent April surveys from Sova Harris (19%, 53 seats projected) and CAM (19.4%, 54 seats) mark a dip from late March highs like Gallup's 23.4% (70 seats), amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021 and no major shifts in the past week despite PM Gyurov's vows against vote-buying. Lower turnout risks and undecideds bolster the closely contested 50-59 range, with coalition negotiations looming post-vote absent a majority (121 seats needed).
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?
# of seats won by GERB-SDS in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?
55-59 48%
50-54 37%
65-69 13%
<50 7.2%
$33,974 Hac.
$33,974 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
<50
7%
50-54
32%
55-59
48%
60-64
4%
65-69
13%
70+
7%
55-59 48%
50-54 37%
65-69 13%
<50 7.2%
$33,974 Hac.
$33,974 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
<50
$1,863 Hac.
7%
50-54
$343 Hac.
32%
55-59
$7,674 Hac.
48%
60-64
$20,092 Hac.
4%
65-69
$2,826 Hac.
13%
70+
$1,176 Hac.
7%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 50-59 seats (80% implied probability) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election for the 240-seat National Assembly, driven by proportional representation and a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads polls at 28-34%. Recent April surveys from Sova Harris (19%, 53 seats projected) and CAM (19.4%, 54 seats) mark a dip from late March highs like Gallup's 23.4% (70 seats), amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021 and no major shifts in the past week despite PM Gyurov's vows against vote-buying. Lower turnout risks and undecideds bolster the closely contested 50-59 range, with coalition negotiations looming post-vote absent a majority (121 seats needed).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET
Hacim
$33,974Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 50-59 seats (80% implied probability) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election for the 240-seat National Assembly, driven by proportional representation and a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads polls at 28-34%. Recent April surveys from Sova Harris (19%, 53 seats projected) and CAM (19.4%, 54 seats) mark a dip from late March highs like Gallup's 23.4% (70 seats), amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021 and no major shifts in the past week despite PM Gyurov's vows against vote-buying. Lower turnout risks and undecideds bolster the closely contested 50-59 range, with coalition negotiations looming post-vote absent a majority (121 seats needed).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$33,974Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 50-59 seats (80% implied probability) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election for the 240-seat National Assembly, driven by proportional representation and a fragmented field where Progressive Bulgaria leads polls at 28-34%. Recent April surveys from Sova Harris (19%, 53 seats projected) and CAM (19.4%, 54 seats) mark a dip from late March highs like Gallup's 23.4% (70 seats), amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021 and no major shifts in the past week despite PM Gyurov's vows against vote-buying. Lower turnout risks and undecideds bolster the closely contested 50-59 range, with coalition negotiations looming post-vote absent a majority (121 seats needed).
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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