Recent polls, including CAM (April 3–14) and Market Links (April 14), position Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev) first at 32–37%, GERB-SDS second at 19–22%, and PP–DB third at 11–13% in this snap parliamentary election on April 19—the eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. PP–DB's entrenched third reflects consistent vote intentions ahead of DPS (9–11%) and Vazrazhdane (6–8%), with no major shifts in the past week despite election-eve fraud allegations. Trader consensus implies PP–DB's pro-EU reform platform secures the spot under proportional representation's 4% threshold, though DPS could close the gap in final turnout among ethnic minorities. GERB-SDS risks slipping only on late surprises.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: 3. Sıra
Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimi: 3. Sıra
PP–DB 78%
DPS 16%
Vazrazhdane 3.8%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$80,747 Hac.
$80,747 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PP–DB
78%
DPS
16%
Vazrazhdane
4%
GERB-SDS
3%
MECh
<1%
BSP
<1%
İTN
<1%
PB
<1%
APS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
PP–DB 78%
DPS 16%
Vazrazhdane 3.8%
GERB-SDS 3.3%
$80,747 Hac.
$80,747 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PP–DB
$23,895 Hac.
78%
DPS
$12,803 Hac.
16%
Vazrazhdane
$3,078 Hac.
4%
GERB-SDS
$10,118 Hac.
3%
MECh
$3,263 Hac.
<1%
BSP
$20,073 Hac.
<1%
İTN
$2,065 Hac.
<1%
PB
$1,575 Hac.
<1%
APS
$2,076 Hac.
<1%
Velichie
$1,802 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAM (April 3–14) and Market Links (April 14), position Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev) first at 32–37%, GERB-SDS second at 19–22%, and PP–DB third at 11–13% in this snap parliamentary election on April 19—the eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. PP–DB's entrenched third reflects consistent vote intentions ahead of DPS (9–11%) and Vazrazhdane (6–8%), with no major shifts in the past week despite election-eve fraud allegations. Trader consensus implies PP–DB's pro-EU reform platform secures the spot under proportional representation's 4% threshold, though DPS could close the gap in final turnout among ethnic minorities. GERB-SDS risks slipping only on late surprises.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Hacim
$80,747Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including CAM (April 3–14) and Market Links (April 14), position Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev) first at 32–37%, GERB-SDS second at 19–22%, and PP–DB third at 11–13% in this snap parliamentary election on April 19—the eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. PP–DB's entrenched third reflects consistent vote intentions ahead of DPS (9–11%) and Vazrazhdane (6–8%), with no major shifts in the past week despite election-eve fraud allegations. Trader consensus implies PP–DB's pro-EU reform platform secures the spot under proportional representation's 4% threshold, though DPS could close the gap in final turnout among ethnic minorities. GERB-SDS risks slipping only on late surprises.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$80,747Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including CAM (April 3–14) and Market Links (April 14), position Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev) first at 32–37%, GERB-SDS second at 19–22%, and PP–DB third at 11–13% in this snap parliamentary election on April 19—the eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability. PP–DB's entrenched third reflects consistent vote intentions ahead of DPS (9–11%) and Vazrazhdane (6–8%), with no major shifts in the past week despite election-eve fraud allegations. Trader consensus implies PP–DB's pro-EU reform platform secures the spot under proportional representation's 4% threshold, though DPS could close the gap in final turnout among ethnic minorities. GERB-SDS risks slipping only on late surprises.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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