Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands at just 60mm through April 13—primarily from a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—well below the pace for the 153mm monthly normal, positioning the under-130mm outcome as trader consensus at 34% implied probability. This dry start, influenced by persistent easterly airstreams similar to March's unseasonably warm pattern, differentiates it from nearby 130-140mm (23.5%) and 140-150mm (21.5%) bins, which would require 70-90mm more over the final two weeks at roughly 5-6.5mm daily averages. Consolidation behind one leader hinges on forecasts for isolated showers versus sustained dry conditions or an early monsoon surge, with the seasonal outlook signaling normal to above-normal totals but current deficits tempering upside expectations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNisan ayında Hong Kong'da yağış mı?
Nisan ayında Hong Kong'da yağış mı?
<130mm 32%
140-150 mm 28%
130-140 mm 26%
150-160mm 13%
$28,810 Hac.
$28,810 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
<130mm
34%
130-140 mm
26%
140-150 mm
23%
150-160mm
14%
160-170mm
4%
190-200 mm
2%
180-190
6%
190mm+
9%
<130mm 32%
140-150 mm 28%
130-140 mm 26%
150-160mm 13%
$28,810 Hac.
$28,810 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
<130mm
$13,245 Hac.
34%
130-140 mm
$5,213 Hac.
26%
140-150 mm
$5,698 Hac.
23%
150-160mm
$3,240 Hac.
14%
160-170mm
$267 Hac.
4%
190-200 mm
$208 Hac.
2%
180-190
$265 Hac.
6%
190mm+
$674 Hac.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands at just 60mm through April 13—primarily from a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—well below the pace for the 153mm monthly normal, positioning the under-130mm outcome as trader consensus at 34% implied probability. This dry start, influenced by persistent easterly airstreams similar to March's unseasonably warm pattern, differentiates it from nearby 130-140mm (23.5%) and 140-150mm (21.5%) bins, which would require 70-90mm more over the final two weeks at roughly 5-6.5mm daily averages. Consolidation behind one leader hinges on forecasts for isolated showers versus sustained dry conditions or an early monsoon surge, with the seasonal outlook signaling normal to above-normal totals but current deficits tempering upside expectations.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Hacim
$28,810Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands at just 60mm through April 13—primarily from a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—well below the pace for the 153mm monthly normal, positioning the under-130mm outcome as trader consensus at 34% implied probability. This dry start, influenced by persistent easterly airstreams similar to March's unseasonably warm pattern, differentiates it from nearby 130-140mm (23.5%) and 140-150mm (21.5%) bins, which would require 70-90mm more over the final two weeks at roughly 5-6.5mm daily averages. Consolidation behind one leader hinges on forecasts for isolated showers versus sustained dry conditions or an early monsoon surge, with the seasonal outlook signaling normal to above-normal totals but current deficits tempering upside expectations.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$28,810Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands at just 60mm through April 13—primarily from a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—well below the pace for the 153mm monthly normal, positioning the under-130mm outcome as trader consensus at 34% implied probability. This dry start, influenced by persistent easterly airstreams similar to March's unseasonably warm pattern, differentiates it from nearby 130-140mm (23.5%) and 140-150mm (21.5%) bins, which would require 70-90mm more over the final two weeks at roughly 5-6.5mm daily averages. Consolidation behind one leader hinges on forecasts for isolated showers versus sustained dry conditions or an early monsoon surge, with the seasonal outlook signaling normal to above-normal totals but current deficits tempering upside expectations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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