As of April 16, Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul station 108 show just 27.3 mm of accumulated precipitation since April 1—primarily from 24 mm around April 9-10—well below the historical April average of 65-80 mm. This dry start, driven by persistent high-pressure systems blocking moist air inflows and mild temperatures limiting convective activity, positions the <40 mm outcome as the market-implied leader at 59%, reflecting trader consensus on continued below-normal rainfall amid KMA's hotter-than-normal 2026 outlook and drought risks. Forecast models indicate low precipitation probabilities through month-end, though uncertainty remains from potential late-spring showers; watch KMA's next medium-range updates for shifts in steering patterns or moisture surges.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40mm 59%
65-70mm 14%
75mm+ 11%
55-60mm 8%
$16,575 Hac.
$16,575 Hac.
<40mm
59%
40-45mm
12%
45-50mm
2%
50-55mm
8%
55-60mm
8%
60-65mm
5%
65-70mm
14%
70-75mm
1%
75mm+
11%
<40mm 59%
65-70mm 14%
75mm+ 11%
55-60mm 8%
$16,575 Hac.
$16,575 Hac.
<40mm
59%
40-45mm
12%
45-50mm
2%
50-55mm
8%
55-60mm
8%
60-65mm
5%
65-70mm
14%
70-75mm
1%
75mm+
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of April 16, Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul station 108 show just 27.3 mm of accumulated precipitation since April 1—primarily from 24 mm around April 9-10—well below the historical April average of 65-80 mm. This dry start, driven by persistent high-pressure systems blocking moist air inflows and mild temperatures limiting convective activity, positions the <40 mm outcome as the market-implied leader at 59%, reflecting trader consensus on continued below-normal rainfall amid KMA's hotter-than-normal 2026 outlook and drought risks. Forecast models indicate low precipitation probabilities through month-end, though uncertainty remains from potential late-spring showers; watch KMA's next medium-range updates for shifts in steering patterns or moisture surges.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular