President Trump initiated a US naval blockade targeting Iranian ports along the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, retaliating against Tehran's shipping restrictions amid the ongoing Iran conflict. US Central Command declared it fully implemented by April 14, with marine tracking confirming no Iran-linked vessels entering or exiting, slashing Tehran's oil exports by $400-435 million daily. Diplomatic off-ramps persist, as Trump signaled potential talks resumption this week following stalled negotiations, while tensions rise with China over energy impacts. No lifting announcement has occurred in the blockade's first four days; traders monitor Iran concessions, escalation risks, and a May 14-15 Xi-Trump summit for resolution triggers before May 31 deadlines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTrump, ABD'nin Hürmüz ablukasını kaldırdığını duyurdu...?
Trump, ABD'nin Hürmüz ablukasını kaldırdığını duyurdu...?
$1,643,208 Hac.
17 Nisan
9%
19 Nisan
17%
30 Nisan
54%
31 Mayıs
82%
$1,643,208 Hac.
17 Nisan
9%
19 Nisan
17%
30 Nisan
54%
31 Mayıs
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump initiated a US naval blockade targeting Iranian ports along the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, retaliating against Tehran's shipping restrictions amid the ongoing Iran conflict. US Central Command declared it fully implemented by April 14, with marine tracking confirming no Iran-linked vessels entering or exiting, slashing Tehran's oil exports by $400-435 million daily. Diplomatic off-ramps persist, as Trump signaled potential talks resumption this week following stalled negotiations, while tensions rise with China over energy impacts. No lifting announcement has occurred in the blockade's first four days; traders monitor Iran concessions, escalation risks, and a May 14-15 Xi-Trump summit for resolution triggers before May 31 deadlines.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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