Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin 52% implied probability for "No," driven by mounting state-level pushback against energy-intensive AI data centers amid grid strain concerns, tempered by political hurdles. The primary catalyst: Maine's legislature passing the nation's first moratorium on large data centers (20+ MW, encompassing AI facilities) on April 14, qualifying under market rules as it suspends approvals anywhere in the U.S., yet Gov. Janet Mills remains undecided on signing without a Jay project exemption. Federal efforts like Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez's March 25 bill face steep odds in a pro-AI Congress. Key swing factors include Mills' imminent decision—signature tips to Yes—and bills in over a dozen states; industry opposition from Dell and Trump-era buildout priorities anchor No sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$14,047 Обс.
$14,047 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$14,047 Обс.
$14,047 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin 52% implied probability for "No," driven by mounting state-level pushback against energy-intensive AI data centers amid grid strain concerns, tempered by political hurdles. The primary catalyst: Maine's legislature passing the nation's first moratorium on large data centers (20+ MW, encompassing AI facilities) on April 14, qualifying under market rules as it suspends approvals anywhere in the U.S., yet Gov. Janet Mills remains undecided on signing without a Jay project exemption. Federal efforts like Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez's March 25 bill face steep odds in a pro-AI Congress. Key swing factors include Mills' imminent decision—signature tips to Yes—and bills in over a dozen states; industry opposition from Dell and Trump-era buildout priorities anchor No sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,047Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin 52% implied probability for "No," driven by mounting state-level pushback against energy-intensive AI data centers amid grid strain concerns, tempered by political hurdles. The primary catalyst: Maine's legislature passing the nation's first moratorium on large data centers (20+ MW, encompassing AI facilities) on April 14, qualifying under market rules as it suspends approvals anywhere in the U.S., yet Gov. Janet Mills remains undecided on signing without a Jay project exemption. Federal efforts like Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez's March 25 bill face steep odds in a pro-AI Congress. Key swing factors include Mills' imminent decision—signature tips to Yes—and bills in over a dozen states; industry opposition from Dell and Trump-era buildout priorities anchor No sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$14,047Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin 52% implied probability for "No," driven by mounting state-level pushback against energy-intensive AI data centers amid grid strain concerns, tempered by political hurdles. The primary catalyst: Maine's legislature passing the nation's first moratorium on large data centers (20+ MW, encompassing AI facilities) on April 14, qualifying under market rules as it suspends approvals anywhere in the U.S., yet Gov. Janet Mills remains undecided on signing without a Jay project exemption. Federal efforts like Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez's March 25 bill face steep odds in a pro-AI Congress. Key swing factors include Mills' imminent decision—signature tips to Yes—and bills in over a dozen states; industry opposition from Dell and Trump-era buildout priorities anchor No sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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