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icon for AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Технологія·Культура

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

icon for AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Технологія·Культура

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

92% шанс
Polymarket

$58,087 Обс.

92% шанс
Polymarket

$58,087 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Growing state and local pushback against AI data centers' massive energy and grid demands has fueled trader consensus around a qualifying moratorium clearing before 2027, reflected in the 91.5% Yes odds. Recent momentum stems from New York's legislature advancing a one-year statewide pause now awaiting the governor's signature, alongside similar measures advancing or enacted in over a dozen states and more than 100 localities, amplified by the March 2026 Sanders-AOC federal bill. Historical patterns of environmental and ratepayer concerns driving quick policy responses support the frontrunner status. Realistic hurdles include gubernatorial vetoes, stalled bills in key states, or resolutions too narrow to satisfy market criteria, leaving room for shifts if federal or industry pushback intensifies before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$58,087
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Growing state and local pushback against AI data centers' massive energy and grid demands has fueled trader consensus around a qualifying moratorium clearing before 2027, reflected in the 91.5% Yes odds. Recent momentum stems from New York's legislature advancing a one-year statewide pause now awaiting the governor's signature, alongside similar measures advancing or enacted in over a dozen states and more than 100 localities, amplified by the March 2026 Sanders-AOC federal bill. Historical patterns of environmental and ratepayer concerns driving quick policy responses support the frontrunner status. Realistic hurdles include gubernatorial vetoes, stalled bills in key states, or resolutions too narrow to satisfy market criteria, leaving room for shifts if federal or industry pushback intensifies before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$58,087
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 92% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 92¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 92%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?» згенерував $58.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 17, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?» — 92% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 92% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.