Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election place Die Linke between 19% and 21%, fluctuating with the CDU and AfD in a narrow band that keeps the 17-20% and 20-23% vote-share intervals nearly even in trader pricing. Local concerns over housing costs, where the party holds perceived competence, support its position, while candidate positioning and coalition speculation add volatility. A fragmented field with five parties clustered between 15% and 22% limits any single surge, and recent survey swings between institutes have reinforced uncertainty. Late-campaign events on rents, migration, or turnout among younger voters could shift Linke support enough to favor one bin over the others before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<17% 37%
17-20% 37%
20-23% 31%
23%+ 24%
<17%
37%
17-20%
37%
20-23%
31%
23%+
24%
<17% 37%
17-20% 37%
20-23% 31%
23%+ 24%
<17%
37%
17-20%
37%
20-23%
31%
23%+
24%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 state election place Die Linke between 19% and 21%, fluctuating with the CDU and AfD in a narrow band that keeps the 17-20% and 20-23% vote-share intervals nearly even in trader pricing. Local concerns over housing costs, where the party holds perceived competence, support its position, while candidate positioning and coalition speculation add volatility. A fragmented field with five parties clustered between 15% and 22% limits any single surge, and recent survey swings between institutes have reinforced uncertainty. Late-campaign events on rents, migration, or turnout among younger voters could shift Linke support enough to favor one bin over the others before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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