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CA-04 Primary Winners

icon for CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

$37,039 Обс.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$37,039 Обс.

Polymarket

Eric Jones

$7,156 Обс.

98%

Mike Thompson

$7,491 Обс.

98%

Laurie MacKenzie

$722 Обс.

4%

John Wesley Tyler

$1,903 Обс.

1%

Mandy Ghusar

$3,238 Обс.

1%

Trevor Merrell

$10,817 Обс.

<1%

Sharon Brown

$3,994 Обс.

<1%

Heath Fulkerson

$1,718 Обс.

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s top-two primary system for the 4th congressional district advances the two highest vote recipients to the November general election regardless of party. Longtime Democratic incumbent Mike Thompson seeks reelection following redistricting under Proposition 50 that added substantial new territory to the district. Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a former venture capitalist and nonprofit executive, has mounted the strongest intra-party challenge through fundraising and endorsements. Several Republican candidates, including small-business owners and veterans, compete for the second spot. The June 2 vote will determine whether Thompson advances alongside Jones or a Republican contender.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$37,039
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s top-two primary system for the 4th congressional district advances the two highest vote recipients to the November general election regardless of party. Longtime Democratic incumbent Mike Thompson seeks reelection following redistricting under Proposition 50 that added substantial new territory to the district. Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a former venture capitalist and nonprofit executive, has mounted the strongest intra-party challenge through fundraising and endorsements. Several Republican candidates, including small-business owners and veterans, compete for the second spot. The June 2 vote will determine whether Thompson advances alongside Jones or a Republican contender.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$37,039
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-04 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Eric Jones» з 98%, далі «Mike Thompson» з 98%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «CA-04 Primary Winners» згенерував $37K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-04 Primary Winners», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-04 Primary Winners» — «Eric Jones» з 98%. Наступний — «Mike Thompson» з 98%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-04 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.