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CA-04 Primary Winners

icon for CA-04 Primary Winners

CA-04 Primary Winners

$37,039 Обс.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$37,039 Обс.

Polymarket

Eric Jones

$7,156 Обс.

98%

Mike Thompson

$7,491 Обс.

96%

Laurie MacKenzie

$722 Обс.

4%

John Wesley Tyler

$1,903 Обс.

2%

Mandy Ghusar

$3,238 Обс.

1%

Trevor Merrell

$10,817 Обс.

1%

Heath Fulkerson

$1,718 Обс.

<1%

Sharon Brown

$3,994 Обс.

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 4th congressional district holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with longtime Democratic incumbent Mike Thompson seeking reelection in a district that includes Napa, Sutter, and Yuba counties along with portions of Yolo, Lake, Placer, and Sacramento. Thompson faces Democratic challenger Eric Jones and multiple Republican candidates including Ray Riehle, Sharon Brown, and Mandy Ghusar. The district’s strong Democratic lean and Thompson’s nearly three-decade tenure in Congress shape the race, while Jones has invested substantial personal funds in the campaign. Under California’s top-two system, the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election regardless of party. Recent candidate forums have focused on agriculture, affordability, and tariffs, with no major late developments altering the established dynamics ahead of election day.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$37,039
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 4th congressional district holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with longtime Democratic incumbent Mike Thompson seeking reelection in a district that includes Napa, Sutter, and Yuba counties along with portions of Yolo, Lake, Placer, and Sacramento. Thompson faces Democratic challenger Eric Jones and multiple Republican candidates including Ray Riehle, Sharon Brown, and Mandy Ghusar. The district’s strong Democratic lean and Thompson’s nearly three-decade tenure in Congress shape the race, while Jones has invested substantial personal funds in the campaign. Under California’s top-two system, the two highest vote-getters advance to the November general election regardless of party. Recent candidate forums have focused on agriculture, affordability, and tariffs, with no major late developments altering the established dynamics ahead of election day.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$37,039
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-04 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Eric Jones» з 98%, далі «Mike Thompson» з 96%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «CA-04 Primary Winners» згенерував $37K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-04 Primary Winners», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-04 Primary Winners» — «Eric Jones» з 98%. Наступний — «Mike Thompson» з 96%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-04 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.