Traders assign roughly 93% probability to "No" on the Elon Bull Run Combo because all three legs—Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status on the Bloomberg index, confirmation of another child, and nine or more successful SpaceX Starship orbital flights—must align within 2026. Starship's demonstrated cadence remains well below the required pace despite ongoing test flights, while Musk's net worth hovers far from $1 trillion amid broader market and Tesla valuation swings. Personal announcements add further uncertainty. Strong consensus reflects these independent hurdles rarely coinciding, though credible shifts in launch cadence, AI-driven Tesla gains, or family news could still alter the outcome before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоElon Bull Run Combo
Elon Bull Run Combo
8% шанс
$12,423 Обс.
$12,423 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
8% шанс
$12,423 Обс.
$12,423 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign roughly 93% probability to "No" on the Elon Bull Run Combo because all three legs—Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status on the Bloomberg index, confirmation of another child, and nine or more successful SpaceX Starship orbital flights—must align within 2026. Starship's demonstrated cadence remains well below the required pace despite ongoing test flights, while Musk's net worth hovers far from $1 trillion amid broader market and Tesla valuation swings. Personal announcements add further uncertainty. Strong consensus reflects these independent hurdles rarely coinciding, though credible shifts in launch cadence, AI-driven Tesla gains, or family news could still alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,423Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign roughly 93% probability to "No" on the Elon Bull Run Combo because all three legs—Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status on the Bloomberg index, confirmation of another child, and nine or more successful SpaceX Starship orbital flights—must align within 2026. Starship's demonstrated cadence remains well below the required pace despite ongoing test flights, while Musk's net worth hovers far from $1 trillion amid broader market and Tesla valuation swings. Personal announcements add further uncertainty. Strong consensus reflects these independent hurdles rarely coinciding, though credible shifts in launch cadence, AI-driven Tesla gains, or family news could still alter the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Обсяг
$12,423Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Traders assign roughly 93% probability to "No" on the Elon Bull Run Combo because all three legs—Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status on the Bloomberg index, confirmation of another child, and nine or more successful SpaceX Starship orbital flights—must align within 2026. Starship's demonstrated cadence remains well below the required pace despite ongoing test flights, while Musk's net worth hovers far from $1 trillion amid broader market and Tesla valuation swings. Personal announcements add further uncertainty. Strong consensus reflects these independent hurdles rarely coinciding, though credible shifts in launch cadence, AI-driven Tesla gains, or family news could still alter the outcome before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання