Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Bull Run Parlay reflects deep skepticism at an 84.5% implied probability for "No," driven by the parlay's stringent requirements: Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status, announcing another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space by year-end. SpaceX's early April confidential IPO filing, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, boosted Musk's net worth to around $800 billion via his ~43% stake, but Tesla's 25% YTD stock decline amid slowing EV demand and delayed robotaxi rollout offsets gains. No new baby announcements have surfaced in 2026, while Starship remains in developmental testing—recent Super Heavy Booster 19 static fire notwithstanding—with no orbital flights yet and an unprecedented cadence needed. Upcoming SpaceX IPO progress and Q2 Tesla earnings could shift sentiment, though the multi-leg hurdle sustains caution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоElon Bull Run Parlay
Elon Bull Run Parlay
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Bull Run Parlay reflects deep skepticism at an 84.5% implied probability for "No," driven by the parlay's stringent requirements: Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status, announcing another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space by year-end. SpaceX's early April confidential IPO filing, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, boosted Musk's net worth to around $800 billion via his ~43% stake, but Tesla's 25% YTD stock decline amid slowing EV demand and delayed robotaxi rollout offsets gains. No new baby announcements have surfaced in 2026, while Starship remains in developmental testing—recent Super Heavy Booster 19 static fire notwithstanding—with no orbital flights yet and an unprecedented cadence needed. Upcoming SpaceX IPO progress and Q2 Tesla earnings could shift sentiment, though the multi-leg hurdle sustains caution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,514Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Bull Run Parlay reflects deep skepticism at an 84.5% implied probability for "No," driven by the parlay's stringent requirements: Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status, announcing another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space by year-end. SpaceX's early April confidential IPO filing, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, boosted Musk's net worth to around $800 billion via his ~43% stake, but Tesla's 25% YTD stock decline amid slowing EV demand and delayed robotaxi rollout offsets gains. No new baby announcements have surfaced in 2026, while Starship remains in developmental testing—recent Super Heavy Booster 19 static fire notwithstanding—with no orbital flights yet and an unprecedented cadence needed. Upcoming SpaceX IPO progress and Q2 Tesla earnings could shift sentiment, though the multi-leg hurdle sustains caution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Обсяг
$9,514Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Bull Run Parlay reflects deep skepticism at an 84.5% implied probability for "No," driven by the parlay's stringent requirements: Elon Musk reaching trillionaire status, announcing another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space by year-end. SpaceX's early April confidential IPO filing, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, boosted Musk's net worth to around $800 billion via his ~43% stake, but Tesla's 25% YTD stock decline amid slowing EV demand and delayed robotaxi rollout offsets gains. No new baby announcements have surfaced in 2026, while Starship remains in developmental testing—recent Super Heavy Booster 19 static fire notwithstanding—with no orbital flights yet and an unprecedented cadence needed. Upcoming SpaceX IPO progress and Q2 Tesla earnings could shift sentiment, though the multi-leg hurdle sustains caution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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