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icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$5,965 Обс.

Polymarket

August 31, 2026

$1,413 Обс.

3%

December 31, 2026

$4,394 Обс.

35%

June 30, 2027

$159 Обс.

85%

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is advancing ground infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral's LC-37 to enable Starship and Super Heavy operations from Florida, with contractors accelerating tower and pad work following the successful Flight 13 test from Texas in July 2026. Executive updates from Gwynne Shotwell highlight a potential first orbital attempt before year-end, contingent on achieving reliable booster catch and ship performance in upcoming Texas flights. Regulatory approvals for high launch cadence and environmental reviews support the timeline, while competitive pressure from other heavy-lift vehicles adds urgency to diversify launch sites beyond Starbase. Key near-term catalysts include completion of Florida-specific vehicle processing and any delays in V3 Starship reliability demonstrations.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$5,965
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is advancing ground infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39A and Cape Canaveral's LC-37 to enable Starship and Super Heavy operations from Florida, with contractors accelerating tower and pad work following the successful Flight 13 test from Texas in July 2026. Executive updates from Gwynne Shotwell highlight a potential first orbital attempt before year-end, contingent on achieving reliable booster catch and ship performance in upcoming Texas flights. Regulatory approvals for high launch cadence and environmental reviews support the timeline, while competitive pressure from other heavy-lift vehicles adds urgency to diversify launch sites beyond Starbase. Key near-term catalysts include completion of Florida-specific vehicle processing and any delays in V3 Starship reliability demonstrations.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$5,965
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «June 30, 2027» з 85%, далі «December 31, 2026» з 35%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 17, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?» — «June 30, 2027» з 85%. Наступний — «December 31, 2026» з 35%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.