Trader consensus favoring 140-159 SpaceX launches in 2026 stems from the Falcon 9 fleet surpassing 100 missions by late August, driven by frequent Starlink deployments from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral alongside crewed and commercial payloads. Booster reuse rates exceeding 20 flights per core sustain the cadence, while Starship Flight 14's planned mid-September orbital attempt marks the shift toward higher-capacity vehicles. With roughly 110 missions completed by early September and remaining windows for additional Starlink batches, Crew-13, and SDA payloads, market-implied odds align with historical acceleration patterns and current manifest momentum through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many SpaceX launches in 2026?
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159 82.7%
160-179 12.8%
120-139 5.2%
200 or more 1.9%
$333,201 Обс.
$333,201 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
100-119
<1%
120-139
5%
140-159
83%
160-179
13%
180-199
1%
200 or more
2%
140-159 82.7%
160-179 12.8%
120-139 5.2%
200 or more 1.9%
$333,201 Обс.
$333,201 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
100-119
$3,518 Обс.
<1%
120-139
$5,146 Обс.
5%
140-159
$50,120 Обс.
83%
160-179
$100,325 Обс.
13%
180-199
$61,219 Обс.
1%
200 or more
$107,058 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus favoring 140-159 SpaceX launches in 2026 stems from the Falcon 9 fleet surpassing 100 missions by late August, driven by frequent Starlink deployments from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral alongside crewed and commercial payloads. Booster reuse rates exceeding 20 flights per core sustain the cadence, while Starship Flight 14's planned mid-September orbital attempt marks the shift toward higher-capacity vehicles. With roughly 110 missions completed by early September and remaining windows for additional Starlink batches, Crew-13, and SDA payloads, market-implied odds align with historical acceleration patterns and current manifest momentum through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$333,201Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus favoring 140-159 SpaceX launches in 2026 stems from the Falcon 9 fleet surpassing 100 missions by late August, driven by frequent Starlink deployments from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral alongside crewed and commercial payloads. Booster reuse rates exceeding 20 flights per core sustain the cadence, while Starship Flight 14's planned mid-September orbital attempt marks the shift toward higher-capacity vehicles. With roughly 110 missions completed by early September and remaining windows for additional Starlink batches, Crew-13, and SDA payloads, market-implied odds align with historical acceleration patterns and current manifest momentum through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Обсяг
$333,201Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favoring 140-159 SpaceX launches in 2026 stems from the Falcon 9 fleet surpassing 100 missions by late August, driven by frequent Starlink deployments from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral alongside crewed and commercial payloads. Booster reuse rates exceeding 20 flights per core sustain the cadence, while Starship Flight 14's planned mid-September orbital attempt marks the shift toward higher-capacity vehicles. With roughly 110 missions completed by early September and remaining windows for additional Starlink batches, Crew-13, and SDA payloads, market-implied odds align with historical acceleration patterns and current manifest momentum through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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