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Вибори·Первинні

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Вибори·Первинні

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Nikema Williams 95.4%

Victor Hill 1.8%

Andres Castro 1.5%

Arnetress Beatty <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Nikema Williams 95.4%

Victor Hill 1.8%

Andres Castro 1.5%

Arnetress Beatty <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Nikema Williams

$3,703 Обс.

95%

Victor Hill

$857 Обс.

2%

Andres Castro

$654 Обс.

2%

Arnetress Beatty

$829 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 95% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary due to her overwhelming fundraising edge—over $370,000 raised versus challengers' combined under $100,000—superior name recognition from prior dominant wins in the safely Democratic Atlanta-based district, and minimal viable opposition. Victor Hill, a former sheriff with a 2022 federal conviction, Andres Castro, a low-funded progressive, and Arnetress Beatty trail far behind amid no recent polling or momentum shifts. With the May 19 primary approaching, her position reflects incumbency advantages and historical base rates for uncompetitive House primaries; upset scenarios would require a late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen voter turnout surge favoring a challenger.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$6,043
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 95% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary due to her overwhelming fundraising edge—over $370,000 raised versus challengers' combined under $100,000—superior name recognition from prior dominant wins in the safely Democratic Atlanta-based district, and minimal viable opposition. Victor Hill, a former sheriff with a 2022 federal conviction, Andres Castro, a low-funded progressive, and Arnetress Beatty trail far behind amid no recent polling or momentum shifts. With the May 19 primary approaching, her position reflects incumbency advantages and historical base rates for uncompetitive House primaries; upset scenarios would require a late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen voter turnout surge favoring a challenger.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$6,043
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Nikema Williams» з 95%, далі «Victor Hill» з 2%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Feb 25, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Nikema Williams» з 95%. Наступний — «Victor Hill» з 2%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.