Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
20°C 100%
16°C 100%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,920 Обс.
$59,920 Обс.
Apr 28, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100%
16°C 100%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,920 Обс.
$59,920 Обс.
Apr 28, 2026
13°C or below
$2,537 Обс.
No
14°C
$1,604 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,705 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,797 Обс.
No
17°C
$5,966 Обс.
No
18°C
$8,314 Обс.
No
19°C
$5,744 Обс.
No
20°C
$11,136 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$7,660 Обс.
No
22°C
$5,861 Обс.
No
23°C or higher
$6,596 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$59,920Дата завершення
Apr 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$59,920Дата завершення
Apr 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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