Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Ankara's August 4 maximum temperature centered near 32–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's summer anticyclone. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating over the Anatolian plateau, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection to moderate peaks. The tight split between 32°C and 33°C in market odds reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the daily maximum, alongside historical variability around the 32°C August average. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria ahead of official station observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 4?
33°C 38%
32°C 34%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C
34%
33°C
38%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 34%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
28°C or below
$372 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$109 Обс.
1%
30°C
$135 Обс.
2%
31°C
$47 Обс.
14%
32°C
$110 Обс.
34%
33°C
$128 Обс.
38%
34°C
$21 Обс.
12%
35°C
$17 Обс.
4%
36°C
$10 Обс.
4%
37°C
$10 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$20 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Ankara's August 4 maximum temperature centered near 32–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's summer anticyclone. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating over the Anatolian plateau, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection to moderate peaks. The tight split between 32°C and 33°C in market odds reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the daily maximum, alongside historical variability around the 32°C August average. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria ahead of official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$980Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Ankara's August 4 maximum temperature centered near 32–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's summer anticyclone. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating over the Anatolian plateau, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection to moderate peaks. The tight split between 32°C and 33°C in market odds reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the daily maximum, alongside historical variability around the 32°C August average. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria ahead of official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$980Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Ankara's August 4 maximum temperature centered near 32–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds typical of the region's summer anticyclone. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating over the Anatolian plateau, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection to moderate peaks. The tight split between 32°C and 33°C in market odds reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the daily maximum, alongside historical variability around the 32°C August average. Updated runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria ahead of official station observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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