Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on June 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 5?
86-87°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$53,882 Обс.
$53,882 Обс.
Jun 5, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$53,882 Обс.
$53,882 Обс.
Jun 5, 2026
69°F or below
$2,182 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$379 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$4,048 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$1,894 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$648 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$2,589 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$9,907 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$4,397 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$8,727 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$8,903 Обс.
Yes
88°F or higher
$10,208 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,882Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$53,882Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus has converged on an 86-87°F high for Austin on June 5 because National Weather Service observations and model guidance placed the daily maximum squarely in that narrow range amid typical early-June Central Texas conditions. Southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover supported afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms, with no strong frontal passage or enhanced moisture to suppress readings below the mid-80s. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this tight alignment between forecast guidance and preliminary station data from Camp Mabry. Only an unlikely post-event quality-control revision exceeding one degree or an unrecognized microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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