Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 24?
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$37,087 Обс.
$37,087 Обс.
May 24, 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
Yes
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$37,087 Обс.
$37,087 Обс.
May 24, 2026
57°F or below
$3,879 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$1,428 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$781 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$1,908 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$3,966 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$2,258 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$1,113 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$1,537 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$4,405 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$6,343 Обс.
No
76°F or higher
$9,467 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,087Дата завершення
May 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$37,087Дата завершення
May 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:44 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin shows a strong upper-level ridge driving southerly flow and daytime highs forecast in the upper 80s to near 90°F on May 24, well above the 76°F threshold. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for late May, when average highs climb from the low 80s to near 89°F amid increasing solar insolation and minimal frontal intrusions. Model consensus assigns negligible probability to cooler outcomes, though an unforecasted cold front or persistent cloud cover and precipitation could briefly suppress readings. The 100% market-implied odds reflect this robust scientific data while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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