Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Beijing on June 16, 2026, with daytime highs aligning precisely at 25°C due to moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer temperatures near the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome reflects this alignment between model runs and real-time observations, creating strong skin-in-the-game confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute revisions in numerical weather prediction outputs or localized microclimate effects that could shift the official recorded maximum by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 16?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$213,502 Обс.
$213,502 Обс.
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$213,502 Обс.
$213,502 Обс.
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$5,454 Обс.
No
22°C
$7,982 Обс.
No
23°C
$18,169 Обс.
No
24°C
$53,723 Обс.
No
25°C
$41,000 Обс.
Yes
26°C
$20,360 Обс.
No
27°C
$22,075 Обс.
No
28°C
$17,644 Обс.
No
29°C
$12,443 Обс.
No
30°C
$6,421 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$8,230 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Beijing on June 16, 2026, with daytime highs aligning precisely at 25°C due to moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer temperatures near the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome reflects this alignment between model runs and real-time observations, creating strong skin-in-the-game confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute revisions in numerical weather prediction outputs or localized microclimate effects that could shift the official recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$213,502Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Beijing on June 16, 2026, with daytime highs aligning precisely at 25°C due to moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer temperatures near the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome reflects this alignment between model runs and real-time observations, creating strong skin-in-the-game confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute revisions in numerical weather prediction outputs or localized microclimate effects that could shift the official recorded maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$213,502Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate stable atmospheric conditions over Beijing on June 16, 2026, with daytime highs aligning precisely at 25°C due to moderate southerly flow, limited solar heating under partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer temperatures near the seasonal baseline. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome reflects this alignment between model runs and real-time observations, creating strong skin-in-the-game confidence. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute revisions in numerical weather prediction outputs or localized microclimate effects that could shift the official recorded maximum by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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