Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 Обс.
$78,475 Обс.
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 Обс.
$78,475 Обс.
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
$2,009 Обс.
No
11°C
$1,330 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,985 Обс.
No
13°C
$2,937 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,339 Обс.
No
15°C
$11,503 Обс.
No
16°C
$11,102 Обс.
Yes
17°C
$23,833 Обс.
No
18°C
$4,608 Обс.
No
19°C
$5,678 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$11,152 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,475Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$78,475Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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