Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$106,786 Обс.
$106,786 Обс.
Jun 4, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$106,786 Обс.
$106,786 Обс.
Jun 4, 2026
30°C or below
$23,071 Обс.
No
31°C
$24,259 Обс.
No
32°C
$14,662 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$8,231 Обс.
No
34°C
$8,743 Обс.
No
35°C
$7,518 Обс.
No
36°C
$8,219 Обс.
No
37°C
$6,411 Обс.
No
38°C
$2,574 Обс.
No
39°C
$2,158 Обс.
No
40°C or higher
$940 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$106,786Дата завершення
Jun 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$106,786Дата завершення
Jun 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional numerical weather prediction models have converged on a daily maximum of 32°C for Chengdu on June 4, aligning with early-summer climatology under East Asian monsoon influence and typical humidity levels that limit afternoon convection. This scientific consensus from official monitoring sources underpins the market's near-certain positioning at that outcome, reflecting observed trends and model agreement rather than speculation. Unlikely shifts could arise from localized microclimate variations or late-day measurement revisions at the primary reporting station, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric conditions and historical baselines for the region.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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