Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on July 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 16?
90-91°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$80,235 Обс.
$80,235 Обс.
Jul 16, 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$80,235 Обс.
$80,235 Обс.
Jul 16, 2026
89°F or below
$22,467 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$11,657 Обс.
Yes
92-93°F
$13,098 Обс.
No
94-95°F
$10,507 Обс.
No
96-97°F
$7,773 Обс.
No
98-99°F
$7,617 Обс.
No
100-101°F
$2,524 Обс.
No
102-103°F
$1,691 Обс.
No
104-105°F
$1,325 Обс.
No
106-107°F
$1,265 Обс.
No
108°F or higher
$313 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$80,235Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$80,235Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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