Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 2?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 2?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 Обс.
$64,044 Обс.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 Обс.
$64,044 Обс.
May 2, 2026
15°C or below
$1,037 Обс.
No
16°C
$762 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,432 Обс.
No
18°C
$6,328 Обс.
No
19°C
$5,717 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,541 Обс.
No
21°C
$5,238 Обс.
No
22°C
$9,916 Обс.
No
23°C
$10,759 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$10,360 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$8,953 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$64,044Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$64,044Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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