Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,698 Обс.
$43,698 Обс.
May 2, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,698 Обс.
$43,698 Обс.
May 2, 2026
23°C or below
$1,653 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,159 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,877 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,433 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,343 Обс.
No
28°C
$5,913 Обс.
No
29°C
$4,466 Обс.
Yes
30°C
$4,108 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,731 Обс.
No
32°C
$4,787 Обс.
No
33°C or higher
$5,229 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$43,698Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$43,698Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання