Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on May 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 8?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$78,088 Обс.
$78,088 Обс.
May 8, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$78,088 Обс.
$78,088 Обс.
May 8, 2026
71°F or below
$13,456 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$10,911 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$9,709 Обс.
Yes
76-77°F
$6,630 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$7,017 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$6,815 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$7,264 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$5,757 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$3,824 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$3,536 Обс.
No
90°F or higher
$3,168 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,088Дата завершення
May 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$78,088Дата завершення
May 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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