Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,690 Обс.
$35,690 Обс.
May 3, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,690 Обс.
$35,690 Обс.
May 3, 2026
29°C or below
$6,824 Обс.
No
30°C
$1,348 Обс.
No
31°C
$1,033 Обс.
No
32°C
$1,898 Обс.
No
33°C
$1,895 Обс.
No
34°C
$2,412 Обс.
No
35°C
$1,820 Обс.
No
36°C
$8,233 Обс.
No
37°C
$1,648 Обс.
No
38°C
$4,193 Обс.
No
39°C or higher
$4,387 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,690Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$35,690Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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