Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on May 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 3?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,579 Обс.
$17,579 Обс.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,579 Обс.
$17,579 Обс.
May 3, 2026
27°C or below
$1,546 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,248 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,233 Обс.
No
30°C
$1,165 Обс.
No
31°C
$1,076 Обс.
No
32°C
$1,081 Обс.
No
33°C
$1,169 Обс.
No
34°C
$2,141 Обс.
No
35°C
$1,973 Обс.
No
36°C
$2,689 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$2,258 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,579Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$17,579Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 37°C or higher on May 3, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD)'s heatwave alert forecasting daytime maximums of 40–42°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Current observations already exceed 37°C midday, with southwesterly winds at 20–30 km/h adding humidity for feels-like temperatures over 43°C, aligning with model consensus from AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 40°C. This exceeds May climatological averages of 35°C amid the intensifying pre-monsoon heat spell. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge or isolated dust-induced cloud cover cooling highs below 37°C, though PMD's evening update could refine this near-certainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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