Recent model consensus from agencies including INMET points to a cold front passage moderating daytime heating in São Paulo on July 5, favoring a maximum temperature near 20–21°C at official observation sites. This aligns with July climatology of 21–22°C average highs while accounting for above-average early-month warmth giving way to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of frontal arrival, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat effects, which introduce forecast spread across ensemble runs and keep the 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle will likely clarify resolution criteria based on the highest recorded value at the primary station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 5?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,124 Обс.
$51,124 Обс.
Jul 5, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,124 Обс.
$51,124 Обс.
Jul 5, 2026
15°C or below
$2,975 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,147 Обс.
No
17°C
$5,898 Обс.
No
18°C
$5,472 Обс.
No
19°C
$6,024 Обс.
No
20°C
$12,206 Обс.
No
21°C
$5,256 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$3,575 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,726 Обс.
No
24°C
$2,186 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$2,660 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including INMET points to a cold front passage moderating daytime heating in São Paulo on July 5, favoring a maximum temperature near 20–21°C at official observation sites. This aligns with July climatology of 21–22°C average highs while accounting for above-average early-month warmth giving way to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of frontal arrival, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat effects, which introduce forecast spread across ensemble runs and keep the 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle will likely clarify resolution criteria based on the highest recorded value at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$51,124Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including INMET points to a cold front passage moderating daytime heating in São Paulo on July 5, favoring a maximum temperature near 20–21°C at official observation sites. This aligns with July climatology of 21–22°C average highs while accounting for above-average early-month warmth giving way to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of frontal arrival, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat effects, which introduce forecast spread across ensemble runs and keep the 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle will likely clarify resolution criteria based on the highest recorded value at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$51,124Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent model consensus from agencies including INMET points to a cold front passage moderating daytime heating in São Paulo on July 5, favoring a maximum temperature near 20–21°C at official observation sites. This aligns with July climatology of 21–22°C average highs while accounting for above-average early-month warmth giving way to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of frontal arrival, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat effects, which introduce forecast spread across ensemble runs and keep the 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle will likely clarify resolution criteria based on the highest recorded value at the primary station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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