Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles indicate a modest warming trend for São Paulo on August 4, positioning 26–28°C as the most likely maximum temperature range under typical wintertime conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 27°C (41%) and 26°C (30.5%), reflecting above-climatological averages for the season amid broader Brazilian patterns of 1–2°C positive anomalies. Key variables include steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could cap or boost daytime highs, with model runs showing low spread for this short-range outlook. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as observational data integrates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
27°C 43%
26°C 27%
28°C 20%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
27%
27°C
43%
28°C
20%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 43%
26°C 27%
28°C 20%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
23°C
$10 Обс.
1%
24°C
$5 Обс.
4%
25°C
$0 Обс.
8%
26°C
$0 Обс.
27%
27°C
$0 Обс.
43%
28°C
$0 Обс.
20%
29°C
$3 Обс.
6%
30°C
$26 Обс.
2%
31°C
$0 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles indicate a modest warming trend for São Paulo on August 4, positioning 26–28°C as the most likely maximum temperature range under typical wintertime conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 27°C (41%) and 26°C (30.5%), reflecting above-climatological averages for the season amid broader Brazilian patterns of 1–2°C positive anomalies. Key variables include steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could cap or boost daytime highs, with model runs showing low spread for this short-range outlook. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as observational data integrates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$44Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles indicate a modest warming trend for São Paulo on August 4, positioning 26–28°C as the most likely maximum temperature range under typical wintertime conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 27°C (41%) and 26°C (30.5%), reflecting above-climatological averages for the season amid broader Brazilian patterns of 1–2°C positive anomalies. Key variables include steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could cap or boost daytime highs, with model runs showing low spread for this short-range outlook. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as observational data integrates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$44Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like INMET and international ensembles indicate a modest warming trend for São Paulo on August 4, positioning 26–28°C as the most likely maximum temperature range under typical wintertime conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 27°C (41%) and 26°C (30.5%), reflecting above-climatological averages for the season amid broader Brazilian patterns of 1–2°C positive anomalies. Key variables include steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could cap or boost daytime highs, with model runs showing low spread for this short-range outlook. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as observational data integrates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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