Current forecast models for Buenos Aires on August 4 project a typical Southern Hemisphere winter day with highs of 15–17°C under stable high-pressure influence and light winds, aligning with long-term August averages near 17°C. Recent observations show similar mild conditions without strong cold fronts or warm advection to shift maxima. This uncertainty among ensemble runs, particularly regarding daytime peak timing and cloud cover, drives the close market spread between 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and model consensus expected tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 4?
16°C 26%
17°C 23%
18°C 20%
15°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
15%
16°C
26%
17°C
23%
18°C
20%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 26%
17°C 23%
18°C 20%
15°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
13°C
$112 Обс.
2%
14°C
$230 Обс.
7%
15°C
$59 Обс.
15%
16°C
$0 Обс.
26%
17°C
$16 Обс.
23%
18°C
$2 Обс.
20%
19°C
$19 Обс.
6%
20°C
$103 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Buenos Aires on August 4 project a typical Southern Hemisphere winter day with highs of 15–17°C under stable high-pressure influence and light winds, aligning with long-term August averages near 17°C. Recent observations show similar mild conditions without strong cold fronts or warm advection to shift maxima. This uncertainty among ensemble runs, particularly regarding daytime peak timing and cloud cover, drives the close market spread between 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and model consensus expected tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$541Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Buenos Aires on August 4 project a typical Southern Hemisphere winter day with highs of 15–17°C under stable high-pressure influence and light winds, aligning with long-term August averages near 17°C. Recent observations show similar mild conditions without strong cold fronts or warm advection to shift maxima. This uncertainty among ensemble runs, particularly regarding daytime peak timing and cloud cover, drives the close market spread between 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and model consensus expected tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$541Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Buenos Aires on August 4 project a typical Southern Hemisphere winter day with highs of 15–17°C under stable high-pressure influence and light winds, aligning with long-term August averages near 17°C. Recent observations show similar mild conditions without strong cold fronts or warm advection to shift maxima. This uncertainty among ensemble runs, particularly regarding daytime peak timing and cloud cover, drives the close market spread between 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and model consensus expected tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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