Latest numerical weather prediction consensus for Buenos Aires on August 3 centers on a maximum near the seasonal August average of 15–17°C, with global and regional models showing a narrow spread between 16°C and 18°C driven by typical winter high-pressure influence, modest southerly flow, and limited cloud cover or frontal passage. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS currently support this range, reflecting normal interannual variability rather than anomalous warming or cooling. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (26.5%) capture this model uncertainty and the potential for small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or insolation before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 3?
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
16°C 21%
19°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
21%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
16%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
16°C 21%
19°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
11%
16°C
21%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
16%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction consensus for Buenos Aires on August 3 centers on a maximum near the seasonal August average of 15–17°C, with global and regional models showing a narrow spread between 16°C and 18°C driven by typical winter high-pressure influence, modest southerly flow, and limited cloud cover or frontal passage. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS currently support this range, reflecting normal interannual variability rather than anomalous warming or cooling. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 17°C (28.5%) and 18°C (26.5%) capture this model uncertainty and the potential for small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or insolation before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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