Traders see 84-85°F edging 82-83°F as the top outcomes for the NYC high on August 3 because short-range model guidance and ensemble runs cluster around a peak near 84°F amid light showers and partial cloud cover that limit full solar heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks note warmer-than-average August conditions overall, with a seasonal mean high of 83°F at Central Park, while current diurnal patterns and regional moisture suggest the maximum will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s rather than pushing into the upper range. Key variables differentiating the close bins include forecast adjustments to precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation, all of which can shift the observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 3?
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
73°F or below
$5 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$10 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$5 Обс.
3%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
8%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
21%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
34%
84-85°F
$45 Обс.
37%
86-87°F
$1 Обс.
8%
88-89°F
$35 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$20 Обс.
1%
92°F or higher
$15 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 84-85°F edging 82-83°F as the top outcomes for the NYC high on August 3 because short-range model guidance and ensemble runs cluster around a peak near 84°F amid light showers and partial cloud cover that limit full solar heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks note warmer-than-average August conditions overall, with a seasonal mean high of 83°F at Central Park, while current diurnal patterns and regional moisture suggest the maximum will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s rather than pushing into the upper range. Key variables differentiating the close bins include forecast adjustments to precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation, all of which can shift the observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$136Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 84-85°F edging 82-83°F as the top outcomes for the NYC high on August 3 because short-range model guidance and ensemble runs cluster around a peak near 84°F amid light showers and partial cloud cover that limit full solar heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks note warmer-than-average August conditions overall, with a seasonal mean high of 83°F at Central Park, while current diurnal patterns and regional moisture suggest the maximum will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s rather than pushing into the upper range. Key variables differentiating the close bins include forecast adjustments to precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation, all of which can shift the observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$136Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 84-85°F edging 82-83°F as the top outcomes for the NYC high on August 3 because short-range model guidance and ensemble runs cluster around a peak near 84°F amid light showers and partial cloud cover that limit full solar heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks note warmer-than-average August conditions overall, with a seasonal mean high of 83°F at Central Park, while current diurnal patterns and regional moisture suggest the maximum will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s rather than pushing into the upper range. Key variables differentiating the close bins include forecast adjustments to precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation, all of which can shift the observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання