Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$84,912 Обс.
$84,912 Обс.
May 1, 2026
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$84,912 Обс.
$84,912 Обс.
May 1, 2026
34°C or below
$14,386 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$5,560 Обс.
No
36°C
$8,898 Обс.
No
37°C
$8,225 Обс.
No
38°C
$13,112 Обс.
No
39°C
$14,709 Обс.
No
40°C
$12,622 Обс.
No
41°C
$2,834 Обс.
No
42°C
$1,001 Обс.
No
43°C
$1,185 Обс.
No
44°C or higher
$2,381 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$84,912Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$84,912Дата завершення
May 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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